Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002838 0.003040 0.003259 0.003516 0.003812 0.004144 0.004549
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002555 0.002830 0.003147 0.003547 0.004047 0.004666 0.005519
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002321 0.002630 0.003002 0.003496 0.004155 0.005042 0.006401
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002211 0.002556 0.002989 0.003593 0.004454 0.005719 0.007926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002113 0.002483 0.002962 0.003658 0.004711 0.006393 0.009749
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001988 0.002361 0.002854 0.003592 0.004755 0.006731 0.011141
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001862 0.002228 0.002717 0.003465 0.004678 0.006836 0.012096
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001790 0.002159 0.002664 0.003453 0.004783 0.007300 0.014283
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001661 0.002007 0.002480 0.003224 0.004485 0.006897 0.013751
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001617 0.001968 0.002457 0.003243 0.004623 0.007430 0.016663
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001594 0.001958 0.002474 0.003325 0.004888 0.008330 0.022422
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001554 0.001920 0.002446 0.003332 0.005008 0.008935 0.028518
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001527 0.001903 0.002452 0.003400 0.005279 0.010106 0.045012
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001484 0.001860 0.002415 0.003391 0.005391 0.010902 0.069415
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001432 0.001801 0.002351 0.003330 0.005377 0.011309 0.101871
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001415 0.001794 0.002366 0.003413 0.005710 0.013187 0.843956
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001394 0.001778 0.002368 0.003470 0.005996 0.015219 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001352 0.001729 0.002311 0.003409 0.005972 0.015832 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001302 0.001666 0.002228 0.003293 0.005787 0.015504 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001274 0.001636 0.002201 0.003282 0.005882 0.016829 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001212 0.001551 0.002076 0.003072 0.005412 0.014615 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001194 0.001534 0.002066 0.003089 0.005567 0.016238 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001187 0.001534 0.002084 0.003165 0.005901 0.019572 NaN